Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 148.235358 169.746582 193.825630 222.875624 257.103344 296.307165 344.835257
2025-10-26 119.897392 148.066616 182.506509 228.102731 287.465957 362.935509 467.430492
2025-11-02 102.608200 133.511521 173.698861 230.561883 310.205085 419.694121 584.969552
2025-11-09 90.959626 123.373707 167.663185 233.821481 332.274978 476.878312 712.090449
2025-11-16 81.299184 114.139005 160.904716 234.047417 348.722376 527.179254 837.452177
2025-11-23 73.378086 106.134371 154.489062 233.238615 362.579792 574.667441 966.726537
2025-11-30 67.820194 100.820946 151.183763 236.364434 382.557812 634.602924 1129.213152
2025-12-07 60.727003 92.303924 141.816849 228.204648 381.987057 658.531137 1229.616493
2025-12-14 55.796444 86.644803 136.300337 225.607030 390.413839 699.494077 1371.521490
2025-12-21 52.500737 83.267000 134.093613 228.320949 408.637471 761.596875 1571.032179
2025-12-28 50.771154 82.285825 135.759825 238.065953 441.436635 858.009035 1869.713862
2026-01-04 48.648221 80.404101 135.612398 244.327017 468.177224 946.581031 2173.466610
2026-01-11 44.986960 75.794353 130.650358 241.807728 478.897910 1007.850986 2442.444339
2026-01-18 42.793504 73.634173 130.016563 247.959396 509.669265 1122.747405 2896.402272
2026-01-25 40.405552 70.860478 127.884695 250.689939 533.321062 1226.298051 3357.981258
2026-02-01 38.361100 68.515010 126.291870 254.283623 559.587403 1342.795999 3905.871174
2026-02-08 36.165847 65.663369 123.370227 254.532727 577.841404 1442.772636 4443.292474
2026-02-15 34.073003 62.815470 120.147382 253.641209 593.092787 1538.430088 5009.246359
2026-02-22 32.572348 61.006816 118.881129 257.086984 620.251972 1675.914531 5797.507809
2026-03-01 30.126852 57.073770 112.726825 248.093504 612.458163 1705.715577 6175.535904
2026-03-08 28.407204 54.498971 109.265097 245.231537 621.221789 1790.558322 6831.022766
2026-03-15 27.286285 53.082354 108.206871 248.221652 647.309689 1939.956364 7861.337418
2026-03-22 26.805728 52.981996 110.078007 258.962971 698.526962 2191.898124 9548.800917